Pakatan Rakyat (PR) has closed its curtain after seven years of existence that has since change the political landscape and mindset of Malaysians which has the ruling Barisan Nasional (BN) worried and on the alert all the while.
Whether the opposition pact or the ‘marriage of convenience’ is truly disintegrated or dissolved cannot be ascertain because it was formed by consensus where leaders of the three political parties – PKR de facto chief Dartuk Seri Anwar Ibrahim, DAP advisor Lim Kit Siang and PAS president Datuk Seri Abdul Hadi Awang – agreed and signed upon before the 2008 general election.
Lim’s declaration has obviously disappointed the voters who had supported the PR in 2013 general election as the dissolution can be considered as ‘betraying the trust’ put by them on the pact.
But then again, the voters have been used to being betrayed but stubbornly still supported the pact as could be seen in Anwar’s Kajang Move in Selangor and in Permatang Pauh by-election in Penang where PKR president who is Anwar’s wife continued to command support.
With only DAP secretary-general Lim Guan Eng declaring the pact is officially dead, it is uncertain whether the dissolution, although unregistered, needed the consensus of the other two parties or just one is enough to make it really good and official.
At present, the only parties in the pact that cannot get along are DAP and PAS with PKR playing the ‘pillar’ or ‘glue’ to the tri-partite pact.
Whether Lim’s declaration is official or not does not seem to matter to PKR and PAS as both parties are looking at how best they can continue to work together under the fragile platform of common goal to unseat Barisan Nasional (BN) despite differences in ideologies and philosophies.
Lim seems to want to be dominant in the political co-operation which irritated PAS especially Hadi.
In fact, it is said that some PKR leaders are of the same view with PAS on the matter which affect PKR’s current party unity.
Lim had declared the dissolution because it could not work together with PAS when the Islamist party adopted the Hudud laws in Kelantan in May and is pushing two private member’s bills in Parliament for implementation in the state and upgrading Syariah Courts in accordance to the Hudud laws.
Added to Lim’s anger is that PAS had adopted without debate the party’s ulamak wing’s resolution to cut ties with DAP following Lim’s tirade against party president and interference in the party’s poll where Lim took the side of the liberals to unseat Hadi.
For PAS, adopting the resolution is not final as the matter needs to go through discussion in the syura council where a final decision would then be made and becomes a policy.
However, it is obvious that Lim’s disagreement is not shared by PKR where Wan Azizah and Anwar, who is in jail, are still having hopes the political disagreement on Hudud could be solved through discussions.
For PKR, what matters most is the hold on Selangor state where minus PAS, it will be a hung state government and Menteri Besar who is also PKR deputy president needs to call for a snap state election.
In Selangor PKR holds 12 seats with DAP 15, PAS 16 and Umno 12 with one Independent which is former Menteri Besar Tan Sri Khalid Ibrahim.
If PKR follows DAP in cutting ties with PAS, it does not have the numbers and it has no choice but to dissolve the state assembly which it would want to avoid by all means.
Going by the figures and the present priority, PKR is not expected to follow DAP’s decision as its’ stakes are high compared to DAP and PAS.
Penang is solely DAP’s state as with the Chinese-based party holding 19 seats, PKR 10 seats, PAS only one seat and Umno 10 seats. Looking at Penang’s figures, DAP has no qualms about abandoning the two allies in the pact.
PAS on the other hand had Kelantan solid with Umno in the mood to make any attempt to topple it.
Given the scenario, PKR may decide to continue working together with PAS and DAP and if Lim decides to cut ties with PKR, which it will not do, PKR can still govern Selangor with PAS.